Transparency Center
What we know, what we investigate, what remains to be proven
The credibility of a scientific initiative is measured by its honesty about what it does not yet know. This page classifies every claim of the project by its level of evidence.
The four levels of evidence
Demonstrated
Consolidated science and results with independent formal or numerical verification.
Being verified
Results with partial validation, in the process of confirmation by independent paths.
Hypothesis
Formulated proposals that still must be demonstrated.
Requires experimentation
Claims that can only be verified with experimental tests.
Inventory
Inventory of claims
The following table summarises the status of each central claim of the project. It is updated as research advances.
The focal property of the parabola: every ray parallel to the axis passes through the focus.
Classical geometric optics
Solar energy can neither be created nor destroyed: only transformed.
First law of thermodynamics
The étendue of an optical system cannot decrease in a non-absorbing medium.
Hamiltonian optics (Liouville)
The HR-DOC system recollimates a beam with reduced section in its useful domain.
Analytical proof + Monte Carlo simulation
HR-DOC does not violate the thermodynamic concentration limit.
Explicit computation and étendue conservation
Integration with a Stirling engine will improve the overall efficiency of the system.
Engineering hypothesis
High-power optical fibre transport will be viable with the expected losses.
Engineering hypothesis
Climate mirrors will be able to manage the local radiative balance.
Research hypothesis
The platform will be able to capture CO₂ at significant scale.
Pending: no scientifically justified figure exists
Real paraboloids will maintain the required tolerances in operation.
Pending: requires experimental prototype
Commitments
How we guarantee veracity
- Every public claim carries its level of evidence.
- Results are validated through independent paths before being communicated.
- Performance and cost figures are presented as design estimates, never as guaranteed results.
- Refuted hypotheses are published and explained, just like confirmed ones.
